02 — The Mechanism
Two obligations. One architecture.
The Threshold Obligation secures the lower boundary: the right of the citizen to a machine they actually control. The Treaty Obligation secures the upper one: the right of the species to a voice in decisions taken in its name. Each obligation, alone, is symbolic. Together, they are an architecture.
Lower boundaryThe Threshold Obligation
The standard response to concerns about AI concentration is a language of openness: papers, benchmarks, model cards, APIs, and occasional weight releases. But this answer mistakes visibility for access, and access for sovereignty.
Even where model weights are released, the most capable systems remain practically dependent on infrastructure costing hundreds of thousands or millions of dollars. Researchers may inspect parts of the stack. Citizens may, in theory, audit it. But they cannot run frontier capability independently. The appearance of openness remains; the substance of control does not.
Compute Freedom proposes a concrete mechanism: once an AI system crosses a defined capability threshold, its developer should be legally required to offer a compressed, locally-runnable version: on consumer hardware, offline-capable, without mandatory cloud authentication.
The obligation is the principle. The threshold is the negotiation.
The precise capability threshold is left open here by design. Defining it is a technical and political question that belongs in public deliberation, with input from engineers, ethicists, policymakers, and affected communities. We invite that negotiation to begin.
- Frontier models can today be compressed to run on consumer hardware with modest capability loss. The technical barrier is not fundamental.
- The economic incentive to prevent local deployment is structural: cloud inference is the revenue model.
- No legal framework currently compels disclosure of whether compression is feasible.
- The public has no mechanism to verify industry claims about what is and is not possible.
The pharmaceutical parallel is instructive. Drug developers are required to disclose formulations, submit to regulatory review, and, after a period, open compounds to generics. We accept that the public has a legitimate interest in not having life-critical knowledge permanently locked inside private infrastructure. AI is becoming life-critical knowledge. The argument is the same.
This argument leaves commercial AI development intact. What it adds is a structural floor beneath it: a minimum condition of compute sovereignty that keeps independent verification, academic research, and democratic accountability possible.
Upper boundaryThe Treaty Obligation
The lower threshold protects the citizen. The upper threshold protects the species, and we have been quiet about it for too long.
As frontier systems advance toward general human-level capability and beyond — AGI, AGIplus, and ASI — their development becomes a matter of consequence beyond any single state or any single corporation. The current trajectory has neither democratic mandate nor binding treaty. Stargate, Colossus, the multi-hundred-billion-dollar build-outs of OpenAI, Google, and xAI, all dependent on the de facto NVIDIA monopoly on frontier training silicon, proceed at competitive tempo, accountable to shareholders rather than citizens.
The physical signature of this race is no longer subtle. When an AI company announces it needs ten new nuclear reactors to train its next model, a constitutional state owes its citizens one question before any admiration: by whose authority? That this question has barely been asked is a failure of contemporary political thought.
Public recordThe Failure of Self-Regulation
Anthropic refused to remove safeguards preventing Claude from being used for autonomous weapon targeting or mass domestic surveillance. The Pentagon responded by designating the company a supply-chain risk. OpenAI, Google, and xAI have moved into classified defense deployments under less restrictive arrangements. Without treaty law, voluntary safety commitments become bargaining chips under pressure.
Public Record · United NationsFirst session of the UN Global Dialogue meets in Geneva; its science panel reports days earlier that frontier safety cannot be guaranteed.6–7 July 2026
Public Record · White HouseExecutive order gives the US government 30-day early access to covered frontier models before release.2 June 2026
Public RecordPentagon designates Anthropic a “supply-chain risk” over weapons-use safeguards.March 2026
Public RecordOpenAI and xAI sign expansive defense deployments as the compute race accelerates.February 2026
Public RecordFrontier AI build-out triggers commitments to multiple new nuclear reactors.2025–2026
Public Statement · Center for AI SafetyHinton, Bengio, Altman, Hassabis: AI risk on par with pandemics and nuclear war.May 2023
Paraphrased summaries of public reporting. See linked sources via the contact channel for citations.
We have built such treaties before.
The Non-Proliferation Treaty
The IAEA
The Biological Weapons Convention
The Montreal Protocol
None were utopian when proposed; all function today: imperfect, monitored, real. The technologies they govern are no more dual-use or globally consequential than frontier AI. The institutional infrastructure exists. Only the will is missing.
The case is not ours alone. The 2023 Center for AI Safety statement, which placed AI risk on the same axis as pandemics and nuclear war, was signed by Geoffrey Hinton, Yoshua Bengio, Sam Altman, and Demis Hassabis. The signatories include the very executives currently building the frontier. Coming from them, the warning is a confession. It has produced no binding constraint on their own behavior, because none has been demanded of them.
€20 becomes €200, €2,000, or simply unavailable at your tier.
The pricing model is changing under everyone's feet. Flat subscriptions are giving way to metered inference. If access to intelligence becomes a metered utility, understanding becomes a function of budget. These thresholds are a matter of months. Whoever does not act now will have no leverage later.
What the Treaty Obligation demandsA mandate from the species
- A binding international agreement defining the capability and infrastructural thresholds beyond which AI development requires multilateral authorization.
- Verifiable compute and energy limits at the frontier, monitored under an inspection regime equivalent in seriousness to the IAEA.
- Pause mechanisms anchored in treaty law rather than corporate self-restraint, triggered by demonstrated capability or demonstrated risk.
- The inclusion of every frontier-capable state, explicitly including China, whose stated willingness to engage in international AI safety dialogue has been more substantive than the Western reflex acknowledges.
- Public, citizen-accessible reporting on frontier development, breaking the opacity of corporate self-assessment that currently passes for governance.
The citizen below. The species above. The corporation answers to neither.